OIV releases first estimates for 2025 world wine production

The International Organisation of Vine and Wine (OIV) has published its annual first estimates for global wine production in 2025.

It says that the initial forecast for 2025 is between 228 and 235 million hectolitres (mhl), with a mid-range estimate of 232 mhl. That is a 3% increase on the historically low 2024 harvest, but still 7% below the 5-year average.

Italy remains the world’s largest wine producer in 2025 (47.3 mhl), ahead of France and (35.9 mhl) Spain (29.4 mhl). The USA is fourth, while Australia bounces back from the smaller 2024 harvest to regain its place as the world’s fifth producer in 2025, ahead of sixth-placed Argentina which is the biggest producer in South America.

The OIV says that the Southern Hemisphere (49 mhl) experienced a moderate recovery from 2024, driven by improved conditions in South Africa, Australia, New Zealand and Brazil, which offset the significant decline seen in Chile. Overall, the hemisphere’s production remains slightly below average, reflecting ongoing climatic challenges.

New Zealand’s production is forecast at 3.7 mhl, a 32% increase over 2024 and 15% above the five-year average. The OIV says the rise follows a difficult 2024 season, when spring frost during flowering affected yields. The 2025 harvest is therefore expected to be the second largest on record for the country.

These first estimates are presented in a new report available on the OIV website (World Wine Production Outlook) and will be updated according to the last 2025 consolidated data.

The OIV says that despite regional contrasts, the global wine market is likely to remain broadly balanced, as limited production growth will help to stabilise stocks in a context of softening demand and ongoing trade uncertainties.

The final data on 2025 global wine production will be announced by the OIV in the second trimester of 2026 and published in the annual OIV report: “State of the World Vine and Wine Sector”.